Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 26.071546 29.666883 33.599132 38.222566 43.514564 49.388124 56.409205
2024-12-29 20.807029 25.652372 31.407491 38.762354 47.934753 59.026513 73.502585
2025-01-05 16.982389 22.379787 29.247121 38.659835 51.281418 67.698941 90.801822
2025-01-12 13.879686 19.351202 26.730901 37.468481 52.790456 74.014331 105.898924
2025-01-19 11.778158 17.245750 25.004630 36.900497 54.830453 81.087615 122.896477
2025-01-26 10.645577 16.292826 24.684007 38.176675 59.556263 92.504379 147.858839
2025-02-02 9.851582 15.697780 24.757053 39.973666 65.220027 106.004765 178.023510
2025-02-09 8.931244 14.758225 24.136874 40.526072 68.880960 116.702960 205.097372
2025-02-16 7.905860 13.500449 22.819850 39.702207 70.047358 123.282363 225.901634
2025-02-23 7.066516 12.442454 21.689422 39.014527 71.292491 130.058644 247.927639
2025-03-02 6.377715 11.557651 20.740533 38.501755 72.735240 137.296877 271.783859
2025-03-09 5.871533 10.937683 20.182530 38.619033 75.336609 146.982200 301.805649
2025-03-16 5.370096 10.285340 19.520615 38.517206 77.628226 156.635466 333.888278
2025-03-23 5.101386 10.047667 19.618882 39.932453 83.187163 173.697836 384.672664
2025-03-30 4.735939 9.575025 19.200604 40.239205 86.481366 186.516715 428.297553
2025-04-06 4.275788 8.855350 18.199234 39.184876 86.686300 192.671311 457.631431
2025-04-13 3.921181 8.312706 17.496768 38.676342 88.010766 201.462511 494.641699
2025-04-20 3.765662 8.176463 17.637634 40.058779 93.853572 221.491723 562.869521
2025-04-27 3.661881 8.140635 17.990450 41.969091 101.210665 246.201895 647.495607
2025-05-04 3.465481 7.873763 17.795453 42.560095 105.434309 263.835681 716.515929
2025-05-11 3.186688 7.386229 17.040616 41.697472 105.888643 271.984481 760.932092
2025-05-18 2.944092 6.957519 16.376305 40.975714 106.606415 280.924626 809.224083
2025-05-25 2.735220 6.587387 15.811744 40.436939 107.735309 291.135449 863.127169